UK council elections test public sentiment and could reshape pressure within the government.

Oil supply disruption keeps markets under pressure as geopolitical risks persist.

UK process failure exposed as Mandelson case reveals governance breakdown

No major changes to the probabilities I cited last week: the most likely scenario still

Ceasefire lifts markets, but oil and inflation risks remain uncertain.

Q1 is over and it has been nothing short of eventful. Geopolitics and ensuing volatility

Markets react to war escalation, oil shocks and rising inflation risks.

As week 3 of the war on Iran draws to a close, it has been

Middle East conflict disrupts oil markets, raising inflation and global market risks.

How war and oil shocks could trigger inflation, volatility and financial instability.